营销科学学报 ›› 2012, Vol. 8 ›› Issue (2): 1-12.

• 论文 •    下一篇

顾客满意度与股东价值关系的动态分析

王锐,周小宇   

  1. 王锐,北京大学光华管理学院市场营销系助理教授,博士生导师,Email:rwang@gsm.pku.edu.cn。
    周小宇,北京大学光华管理学院市场营销系博士研究生,Email:xiaoyuzhou@pku.edu.cn。
  • 出版日期:2012-06-01 发布日期:2013-03-31
  • 基金资助:

    非常感谢两位匿名评审专家提出的宝贵和中肯的修改意见。本文作者感谢国家自然科学基金青年项目(70902013)及北京大学青年教师科研启动基金项目的资助。

Customer Satisfaction and Shareholder Value: New Insights from a Dynamic Bayesian Analysis

Wang Rui, Zhou Xiaoyu   

  1. Guanghua School of Management, Peking University
  • Online:2012-06-01 Published:2013-03-31

摘要:

本文认为顾客满意度与股东价值的正向关系在动态环境中存在着变化。通过多层贝叶斯方法的动态分析方法,本文对顾客满意度和股东价值之间的关系在动态环境中的延续效应进行分析。结果表明,这两者的关系是随时间变化的,但在长期内顾客满意度能够创造股东价值。此外,行业和企业的特性会随着时间变化影响这种关系。

关键词: 顾客满意度, 股东价值, 权变理, 动态层级贝叶斯方法

Abstract:

This paper investigates the dynamic relationship between the customer satisfaction and shareholder value. The authors applied the Bayesian heterogeneous model to obtain individual firm level, time varying estimates of the association. Their findings suggest that individual firm level associations change over time and customer satisfaction tends to create shareholder value in the long run but not necessarily in the short term. The results also indicate that industry and firm characteristics can affect the associations and the impacts vary over time.

Key words: customer satisfaction, shareholder value, contingency theory, hierarchical Bayesian dynamic analysis